Region Results for ru_singles-FptpList (2011 Data)

This page presents an analysis of each region -- the number of seats each party received in the region, the number they should have received, and various percentages.

The statistics are presented twice for models that have top-up seats in the region -- once that excludes the top-up seats and once including them. This enables us to see the effect of including the top-up seats in the model.

Models that do not include top-up seats (FPTP, AV, STV) only present the statistics once.

The FPTP and AV electoral models don't even have the concept of a region. In those cases the "regions" are the provinces.

R_AB.North R_AB.South R_BC.IntNorthIsland R_BC.LowerMain R_MB R_NB R_NL R_NS R_NT R_NU R_ON.Eastern R_ON.GTA R_ON.Northern R_ON.SouthCentral R_ON.Western R_PEI R_QC.Eastern R_QC.MonCentral R_QC.MonWestL R_SK R_YT

Region: R_AB.North

Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
Con397,99366.2%777.8%11.6%866.7%0.5%
NDP114,13219.0%222.2%3.2%216.7%-2.3%
Lib41,5986.9%00.0%-6.9%18.3%1.4%
Grn25,7504.3%00.0%-4.3%18.3%4.1%
Ind16,5562.8%00.0%-2.8%00.0%-2.8%
Total Number of MPs:912
Gallagher Index:10.49 4.02

Topup Seats: (3)

  1. Con
  2. Lib
  3. Grn

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Edmonton Centre, Edmonton Griesbach, Edmonton Manning, Edmonton Mill Woods, Edmonton Riverbend, Edmonton Strathcona, Edmonton West, Edmonton-Wetaskiwin, Fort McMurray-Cold Lake, Grande Prairie-Mackenzie, Lakeland, Peace River-Westlock

Region: R_AB.South

Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
Con534,77267.3%1184.6%17.3%1168.8%1.4%
NDP120,59815.2%215.4%0.2%212.5%-2.7%
Lib87,71211.0%00.0%-11.0%212.5%1.5%
Grn47,3086.0%00.0%-6.0%16.3%0.3%
Total Number of MPs:1316
Gallagher Index:15.11 2.40

Topup Seats: (3)

  1. Lib
  2. Grn
  3. Lib

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Banff-Airdrie, Battle River-Crowfoot, Bow river, Calgary Centre, Calgary Confederation, Calgary Forest Lawn, Calgary Heritage, Calgary Midnapore, Calgary Nose Hill, Calgary Rocky Ridge, Calgary Shepard, Calgary Signal Hill, Calgary Skyview, Foothills, Lethbridge, Medicine Hat-Cardston-Warner

Region: R_BC.IntNorthIsland

Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
Con361,04547.0%541.7%-5.4%750.0%3.0%
NDP234,13930.5%541.7%11.2%535.7%5.2%
Lib82,54110.8%18.3%-2.4%17.1%-3.6%
Grn81,97510.7%18.3%-2.3%17.1%-3.5%
Total Number of MPs:1214
Gallagher Index: 9.09 5.56

Topup Seats: (2)

  1. Con
  2. Con

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Cariboo-Prince George, Central Okanagan-Similkameen-Nicola, Courtenay-Alberni, Cowichan-Malahat-Langford, Esquimalt-Saanich-Sooke, Kamloops-Thompson-Cariboo, Kelowna-Lake Country, Kootenay-Columbia, Nanaimo-Ladysmith, North Okanagan-Shuswap, Prince George-Peace River-Northern Rockies, Saanich-Gulf Islands, Skeena-Bulkley Valley, South Okanagan-West Kootenay

Region: R_BC.LowerMain

Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
Con492,22744.5%1055.6%11.0%1045.5%0.9%
NDP374,96333.9%633.3%-0.6%836.4%2.4%
Lib168,72215.3%211.1%-4.2%313.6%-1.6%
Grn61,7945.6%00.0%-5.6%14.5%-1.0%
Total Number of MPs:1822
Gallagher Index: 9.23 2.31

Topup Seats: (4)

  1. NDP
  2. Lib
  3. Grn
  4. NDP

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Abbotsford, Burnaby North-Seymour, Burnaby South, Chilliwack-Hope, Cloverdale-Langley City, Coquitlam-Port Coquitlam, Delta, Fleetwood-Port Kells, Langley-Aldergrove, Mission-Matsqui-Fraser Canyon, New Westminster-Burnaby, North Vancouver, Pitt Meadows-Maple Ridge, Port Moody-Coquitlam, Richmond Centre, South Surrey-White Rock, Steveston-Richmond East, Surrey Centre, Surrey-Newton, Vancouver Centre, Vancouver East, Vancouver Granville

Region: R_MB

Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
Con262,94153.5%758.3%4.8%750.0%-3.5%
NDP126,63925.8%325.0%-0.8%428.6%2.8%
Lib81,41716.6%216.7%0.1%214.3%-2.3%
Grn17,7383.6%00.0%-3.6%17.1%3.5%
Total Number of MPs:1214
Gallagher Index: 4.29 4.36

Topup Seats: (2)

  1. NDP
  2. Grn

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Brandon-Souris, Charleswood-St. James-Assiniboia-Headingley, Churchill-Keewatinook Aski, Dauphin-Swan River-Neepawa, Elmwood-Transcona, Kildonan-St. Paul, Portage-Lisgar, Provencher, Saint Boniface-Saint Vital, Selkirk-Interlake-Eastman, Winnipeg Centre, Winnipeg North, Winnipeg South, Winnipeg South Centre

Region: R_NB

Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
Con170,42043.8%555.6%11.7%550.0%6.2%
NDP115,83029.8%333.3%3.5%330.0%0.2%
Lib87,87122.6%111.1%-11.5%220.0%-2.6%
Grn12,3173.2%00.0%-3.2%00.0%-3.2%
Total Number of MPs:910
Gallagher Index:12.09 5.25

Topup Seats: (1)

  1. Lib

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Acadie-Bathurst, Beauséjour, Fredericton, Fundy Royal, Madawaska-Restigouche, Miramichi-Grand Lake, Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe, New Brunswick Southwest, Saint John-Rothesay, Tobique-Mactaquac

Region: R_NL

Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
Lib82,34437.9%350.0%12.1%342.9%5.0%
NDP70,86832.6%116.7%-15.9%228.6%-4.0%
Con61,56228.3%233.3%5.0%228.6%0.2%
Total Number of MPs:67
Gallagher Index:14.61 4.58

Topup Seats: (1)

  1. NDP

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Avalon, Bonavista-Burin-Trinity, Coast of Bays-Central-Notre Dame, Labrador, Long Range Mountains, St. John's East, St. John's South-Mount Pearl

Region: R_NS

Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
Con165,81736.7%555.6%18.8%545.5%8.7%
NDP136,62030.3%222.2%-8.0%327.3%-3.0%
Lib130,57628.9%222.2%-6.7%327.3%-1.7%
Grn17,8083.9%00.0%-3.9%00.0%-3.9%
Total Number of MPs:911
Gallagher Index:15.48 7.19

Topup Seats: (2)

  1. NDP
  2. Lib

Constituent 2015 Ridings

Cape Breton-Canso, Central Nova, Cumberland-Colchester, Dartmouth-Cole Harbour, Halifax, Halifax West, Kings-Hants, Sackville-Preston-Chezzetcook, South Shore-St. Margarets, Sydney-Victoria, West Nova

Region: R_NT

Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
NDP7,14045.8%1100.0%54.2%1100.0%54.2%
Con5,00132.1%00.0%-32.1%00.0%-32.1%
Lib2,87218.4%00.0%-18.4%00.0%-18.4%
Grn4773.1%00.0%-3.1%00.0%-3.1%
Total Number of MPs:11
Gallagher Index:46.4446.44

Topup Seats: (0)

    Constituent 2015 Ridings

    Northwest Territories

    Region: R_NU

    Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
    PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
    Con3,93049.9%1100.0%50.1%1100.0%50.1%
    Lib2,26028.7%00.0%-28.7%00.0%-28.7%
    NDP1,52519.4%00.0%-19.4%00.0%-19.4%
    Grn1602.0%00.0%-2.0%00.0%-2.0%
    Total Number of MPs:11
    Gallagher Index:43.0843.08

    Topup Seats: (0)

      Constituent 2015 Ridings

      Nunavut

      Region: R_ON.Eastern

      Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
      PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
      Con426,52042.9%1275.0%32.1%1263.2%20.3%
      NDP268,33727.0%212.5%-14.5%421.1%-5.9%
      Lib260,04526.1%212.5%-13.6%315.8%-10.4%
      Grn33,6693.4%00.0%-3.4%00.0%-3.4%
      Total Number of MPs:1619
      Gallagher Index:26.8216.81

      Topup Seats: (3)

      1. NDP
      2. Lib
      3. NDP

      Constituent 2015 Ridings

      Bay of Quinte, Carleton, Glengarry-Prescott-Russell, Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-Brock, Hastings-Lennox and Addington, Kanata-Carleton, Kingston and the Islands, Lanark-Frontenac-Kingston, Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes, Nepean, Northumberland-Peterborough South, Orléans, Ottawa Centre, Ottawa South, Ottawa West-Nepean, Ottawa-Vanier, Peterborough-Kawartha, Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke, Stormont-Dundas-South Glengarry

      Region: R_ON.GTA

      Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
      PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
      Con1,118,25245.4%1541.7%-3.7%2146.7%1.3%
      NDP611,12724.8%1130.6%5.8%1124.4%-0.4%
      Lib605,83924.6%1027.8%3.2%1124.4%-0.1%
      Grn97,8464.0%00.0%-4.0%24.4%0.5%
      Total Number of MPs:3645
      Gallagher Index: 6.07 1.18

      Topup Seats: (9)

      1. Con
      2. Con
      3. Con
      4. Con
      5. Grn
      6. Con
      7. Lib
      8. Grn
      9. Con

      Constituent 2015 Ridings

      Ajax, Aurora-Oak Ridges-Richmond Hill, Beaches-East York, Brampton Centre, Brampton East, Brampton North, Brampton South, Brampton West, Davenport, Don Valley East, Don Valley North, Don Valley West, Dufferin-Caledon, Durham, Eglinton-Lawrence, Etobicoke Centre, Etobicoke North, Etobicoke-Lakeshore, King-Vaughan, Markham-Stouffville, Markham-Thornhill, Markham-Unionville, Milton, Mississauga Centre, Mississauga East-Cooksville, Mississauga-Erin Mills, Mississauga-Lakeshore, Mississauga-Malton, Mississauga-Streetsville, Newmarket-Aurora, Oakville, Oakville North-Burlington, Oshawa, Parkdale-High Park, Pickering-Uxbridge, Richmond Hill, Scarborough Centre, Scarborough North, Scarborough Southwest, Scarborough-Agincourt, Scarborough-Guildwood, Scarborough-Rouge Park, Spadina-Fort York, Thornhill, Toronto-St. Paul's

      Region: R_ON.Northern

      Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
      PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
      Con121,99339.4%228.6%-10.8%337.5%-1.9%
      NDP106,75134.5%457.1%22.7%450.0%15.5%
      Lib67,71921.9%114.3%-7.6%112.5%-9.4%
      Grn11,3483.7%00.0%-3.7%00.0%-3.7%
      Total Number of MPs:78
      Gallagher Index:18.7413.16

      Topup Seats: (1)

      1. Con

      Constituent 2015 Ridings

      Algoma-Manitoulin-Kapuskasing, Kenora, Nickel Belt, Nipissing-Timiskaming, Sault Ste. Marie, Sudbury, Thunder Bay-Rainy River, Thunder Bay-Superior North

      Region: R_ON.SouthCentral

      Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
      PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
      Con377,99543.3%535.7%-7.6%741.2%-2.1%
      NDP234,22026.8%535.7%8.9%529.4%2.6%
      Lib226,32825.9%428.6%2.6%423.5%-2.4%
      Grn29,1573.3%00.0%-3.3%15.9%2.5%
      Total Number of MPs:1417
      Gallagher Index: 8.80 3.43

      Topup Seats: (3)

      1. Con
      2. Con
      3. Grn

      Constituent 2015 Ridings

      Brantford-Brant, Burlington, Cambridge, Flamborough-Glanbrook, Guelph, Haldimand-Norfolk, Hamilton Centre, Hamilton East-Stoney Creek, Hamilton Mountain, Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas, Kitchener Centre, Kitchener South-Hespeler, Kitchener-Conestoga, Niagara Centre, Niagara Falls, Niagara West, Oxford, St. Catharines

      Region: R_ON.Western

      Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
      PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
      Con412,70246.4%642.9%-3.5%847.1%0.7%
      Lib240,37027.0%535.7%8.7%529.4%2.4%
      NDP197,00022.1%321.4%-0.7%423.5%1.4%
      Grn35,4144.0%00.0%-4.0%00.0%-4.0%
      Total Number of MPs:1417
      Gallagher Index: 7.23 3.47

      Topup Seats: (3)

      1. Con
      2. Con
      3. NDP

      Constituent 2015 Ridings

      Barrie-Innisfil, Barrie-Springwater-Oro-Medonte, Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound, Chatham-Kent-Leamington, Elgin-Middlesex-London, Essex, Huron-Bruce, Lambton-Kent-Middlesex, London North Centre, London West, London-Fanshawe, Oxford, Parry Sound-Muskoka, Perth-Wellington, Sarnia-Lambton, Simcoe North, Simcoe-Grey

      Region: R_PEI

      Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
      PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
      Con32,54841.2%133.3%-7.8%250.0%8.8%
      Lib32,38041.0%133.3%-7.6%125.0%-16.0%
      NDP12,13515.4%133.3%18.0%125.0%9.6%
      Grn1,8952.4%00.0%-2.4%00.0%-2.4%
      Total Number of MPs:34
      Gallagher Index:14.9814.69

      Topup Seats: (1)

      1. Con

      Constituent 2015 Ridings

      Cardigan, Charlottetown, Egmont, Malpeque

      Region: R_QC.Eastern

      Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
      PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
      NDP580,85144.2%1568.2%24.0%1557.7%13.5%
      Bloc291,22622.2%313.6%-8.5%519.2%-2.9%
      Con202,17115.4%29.1%-6.3%311.5%-3.9%
      Lib185,80914.1%29.1%-5.1%311.5%-2.6%
      Grn27,4692.1%00.0%-2.1%00.0%-2.1%
      Ind22,7181.7%00.0%-1.7%00.0%-1.7%
      Total Number of MPs:2226
      Gallagher Index:18.9710.47

      Topup Seats: (4)

      1. Bloc
      2. Con
      3. Bloc
      4. Lib

      Constituent 2015 Ridings

      Avignon-La Mitis-Matane-Matapédia, Beauce, Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d'Orléans-Charlevoix, Beauport-Limoilou, Bellechasse-Les Etchemins-Lévis, Berthier-Maskinongé, Bécancour-Nicolet-Saurel, Charlesbourg-Haute-Saint-Charles, Chicoutimi-Le Fjord, Compton-Stanstead, Drummond, Gaspésie-Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine, Jonquière, Lac-Saint-Jean, Louis-Hébert, Louis-Saint-Laurent, Lévis-Lotbinière, Manicouagan, Montmagny-L'Islet-Kamouraska-Rivière-du-Loup, Mégantic-L'Érable, Portneuf-Jacques-Cartier, Québec, Richmond-Arthabaska, Rimouski-Neigette-Témiscouata-Les Basques, Saint-Maurice-Champlain, Sherbrooke

      Region: R_QC.MonCentral

      Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
      PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
      NDP633,96742.6%1350.0%7.4%1343.3%0.7%
      Bloc358,82524.1%519.2%-4.9%723.3%-0.8%
      Con237,34716.0%415.4%-0.6%516.7%0.7%
      Lib220,46214.8%415.4%0.6%413.3%-1.5%
      Grn32,1592.2%00.0%-2.2%13.3%1.2%
      Total Number of MPs:2630
      Gallagher Index: 6.48 1.62

      Topup Seats: (4)

      1. Bloc
      2. Bloc
      3. Con
      4. Grn

      Constituent 2015 Ridings

      Ahuntsic-Cartierville, Alfred-Pellan, Beloeil-Chambly, Bourassa, Brome-Missisquoi, Brossard-Saint-Lambert, Châteauguay-Lacolle, Hochelaga, Honoré-Mercier, Joliette, La Pointe-de-l'Île, La Prairie, Laurier-Sainte-Marie, Laval-Les Îles, Longueuil-Charles-LeMoyne, Longueuil-Saint-Hubert, Marc-Aurèle-Fortin, Montarville, Montcalm, Outremont, Papineau, Pierre-Boucher-Les Patriotes-Verchères, Repentigny, Rosemont-La Petite-Patrie, Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot, Saint-Jean, Saint-Léonard-Saint-Michel, Salaberry-Suroît, Shefford, Terrebonne

      Region: R_QC.MonWestL

      Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
      PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
      NDP416,04741.6%850.0%8.4%842.1%0.5%
      Bloc241,37424.1%425.0%0.9%526.3%2.2%
      Con188,44318.8%318.8%-0.1%421.1%2.2%
      Lib132,17613.2%16.3%-7.0%210.5%-2.7%
      Grn20,7742.1%00.0%-2.1%00.0%-2.1%
      Total Number of MPs:1619
      Gallagher Index: 7.89 3.28

      Topup Seats: (3)

      1. Lib
      2. Bloc
      3. Con

      Constituent 2015 Ridings

      Abitibi-Baie-James-Nunavik-Eeyou, Abitibi-Témiscamingue, Argenteuil-La Petite-Nation, Dorval-Lachine-LaSalle, Gatineau, Hull-Aylmer, LaSalle-Émard-Verdun, Lac-Saint-Louis, Laurentides-Labelle, Mirabel, Mount Royal, Notre-Dame-de-Grâce-Westmount, Pierrefonds-Dollard, Pontiac, Rivière-des-Mille-Îles, Rivière-du-Nord, Saint-Laurent, Thérèse-De Blainville, Vaudreuil-Soulanges

      Region: R_SK

      Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
      PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
      Con256,16756.3%1083.3%27.0%1071.4%15.1%
      NDP147,21432.3%216.7%-15.7%428.6%-3.8%
      Lib38,7438.5%00.0%-8.5%00.0%-8.5%
      Grn12,0452.6%00.0%-2.6%00.0%-2.6%
      Total Number of MPs:1214
      Gallagher Index:22.9912.71

      Topup Seats: (2)

      1. NDP
      2. NDP

      Constituent 2015 Ridings

      Battlefords-Lloydminster, Carlton Trail-Eagle Creek, Cypress Hills-Grasslands, Desnethé-Missinippi-Churchill River, Moose Jaw-Lake Centre-Lanigan, Prince Albert, Regina-Lewvan, Regina-Qu'Appelle, Regina-Wascana, Saskatoon West, Saskatoon-Grasswood, Saskatoon-University, Souris-Moose Mountain, Yorkton-Melville

      Region: R_YT

      Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
      PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
      Con5,42233.8%1100.0%66.2%1100.0%66.2%
      Lib5,29032.9%00.0%-32.9%00.0%-32.9%
      Grn3,03718.9%00.0%-18.9%00.0%-18.9%
      NDP2,30814.4%00.0%-14.4%00.0%-14.4%
      Total Number of MPs:11
      Gallagher Index:54.9454.94

      Topup Seats: (0)

        Constituent 2015 Ridings

        Yukon