Region Results for kingsley-RcRUPR (2015 Data)

This page presents an analysis of each region -- the number of seats each party received in the region, the number they should have received, and various percentages.

The statistics are presented twice for models that have top-up seats in the region -- once that excludes the top-up seats and once including them. This enables us to see the effect of including the top-up seats in the model.

Models that do not include top-up seats (FPTP, AV, STV) only present the statistics once.

The FPTP and AV electoral models don't even have the concept of a region. In those cases the "regions" are the provinces.

R_AB.North R_AB.South R_BC.IntNorthIsland R_BC.LowerMain R_MB R_NB R_NL R_NS R_NT R_NU R_ON.Eastern R_ON.GTA R_ON.Northern R_ON.SouthCentral R_ON.Western R_PEI R_QC.Eastern R_QC.MonCentral R_QC.MonWestL R_SK R_YT

Region: R_AB.North

Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
Con537,76757.3%1270.6%13.3%1270.6%13.3%
Lib211,09022.5%317.6%-4.8%317.6%-4.8%
NDP143,75515.3%211.8%-3.5%211.8%-3.5%
Grn22,5882.4%00.0%-2.4%00.0%-2.4%
Ind14,7011.6%00.0%-1.6%00.0%-1.6%
Total Number of MPs:1717
Gallagher Index:10.5310.53

Topup Seats: (0)

    Constituent 2015 Ridings

    Battle River-Crowfoot, Edmonton Centre, Edmonton Griesbach, Edmonton Manning, Edmonton Mill Woods, Edmonton Riverbend, Edmonton Strathcona, Edmonton West, Edmonton-Wetaskiwin, Fort McMurray-Cold Lake, Grande Prairie-Mackenzie, Lakeland, Peace River-Westlock, Sherwood Park-Fort Saskatchewan, St. Albert-Edmonton, Sturgeon River-Parkland, Yellowhead

    Region: R_AB.South

    Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
    PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
    Con612,33461.7%1376.5%14.7%1376.5%14.7%
    Lib262,32626.4%423.5%-2.9%423.5%-2.9%
    NDP81,0458.2%00.0%-8.2%00.0%-8.2%
    Grn26,1542.6%00.0%-2.6%00.0%-2.6%
    Total Number of MPs:1717
    Gallagher Index:12.2412.24

    Topup Seats: (0)

      Constituent 2015 Ridings

      Banff-Airdrie, Bow river, Calgary Centre, Calgary Confederation, Calgary Forest Lawn, Calgary Heritage, Calgary Midnapore, Calgary Nose Hill, Calgary Rocky Ridge, Calgary Shepard, Calgary Signal Hill, Calgary Skyview, Foothills, Lethbridge, Medicine Hat-Cardston-Warner, Red Deer-Lacombe, Red Deer-Mountain View

      Region: R_BC.IntNorthIsland

      Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
      PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
      NDP310,33630.5%743.8%13.2%743.8%13.2%
      Con303,01729.8%318.8%-11.0%318.8%-11.0%
      Lib264,53226.0%531.3%5.2%531.3%5.2%
      Grn133,56513.1%16.3%-6.9%16.3%-6.9%
      Total Number of MPs:1616
      Gallagher Index:13.6413.64

      Topup Seats: (0)

        Constituent 2015 Ridings

        Cariboo-Prince George, Central Okanagan-Similkameen-Nicola, Courtenay-Alberni, Cowichan-Malahat-Langford, Esquimalt-Saanich-Sooke, Kamloops-Thompson-Cariboo, Kelowna-Lake Country, Kootenay-Columbia, Nanaimo-Ladysmith, North Island-Powell River, North Okanagan-Shuswap, Prince George-Peace River-Northern Rockies, Saanich-Gulf Islands, Skeena-Bulkley Valley, South Okanagan-West Kootenay, Victoria

        Region: R_BC.LowerMain

        Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
        PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
        Lib565,28441.9%1142.3%0.4%1142.3%0.4%
        Con404,99330.0%726.9%-3.1%726.9%-3.1%
        NDP304,82022.6%830.8%8.2%830.8%8.2%
        Grn61,2824.5%00.0%-4.5%00.0%-4.5%
        Total Number of MPs:2626
        Gallagher Index: 6.97 6.97

        Topup Seats: (0)

          Constituent 2015 Ridings

          Abbotsford, Burnaby North-Seymour, Burnaby South, Chilliwack-Hope, Cloverdale-Langley City, Coquitlam-Port Coquitlam, Delta, Fleetwood-Port Kells, Langley-Aldergrove, Mission-Matsqui-Fraser Canyon, New Westminster-Burnaby, North Vancouver, Pitt Meadows-Maple Ridge, Port Moody-Coquitlam, Richmond Centre, South Surrey-White Rock, Steveston-Richmond East, Surrey Centre, Surrey-Newton, Vancouver Centre, Vancouver East, Vancouver Granville, Vancouver Kingsway, Vancouver Quadra, Vancouver South, West Vancouver-Sunshine Coast-Sea to Sky Country

          Region: R_MB

          Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
          PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
          Lib268,28044.7%428.6%-16.1%428.6%-16.1%
          Con224,52737.4%750.0%12.6%750.0%12.6%
          NDP81,96013.6%321.4%7.8%321.4%7.8%
          Grn18,9443.2%00.0%-3.2%00.0%-3.2%
          Total Number of MPs:1414
          Gallagher Index:15.6415.64

          Topup Seats: (0)

            Constituent 2015 Ridings

            Brandon-Souris, Charleswood-St. James-Assiniboia-Headingley, Churchill-Keewatinook Aski, Dauphin-Swan River-Neepawa, Elmwood-Transcona, Kildonan-St. Paul, Portage-Lisgar, Provencher, Saint Boniface-Saint Vital, Selkirk-Interlake-Eastman, Winnipeg Centre, Winnipeg North, Winnipeg South, Winnipeg South Centre

            Region: R_NB

            Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
            PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
            Lib227,76451.6%880.0%28.4%880.0%28.4%
            Con112,07025.4%220.0%-5.4%220.0%-5.4%
            NDP81,10518.4%00.0%-18.4%00.0%-18.4%
            Grn20,5514.7%00.0%-4.7%00.0%-4.7%
            Total Number of MPs:1010
            Gallagher Index:24.4624.46

            Topup Seats: (0)

              Constituent 2015 Ridings

              Acadie-Bathurst, Beauséjour, Fredericton, Fundy Royal, Madawaska-Restigouche, Miramichi-Grand Lake, Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe, New Brunswick Southwest, Saint John-Rothesay, Tobique-Mactaquac

              Region: R_NL

              Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
              PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
              Lib165,41864.5%685.7%21.2%685.7%21.2%
              NDP54,12021.1%114.3%-6.8%114.3%-6.8%
              Con26,46910.3%00.0%-10.3%00.0%-10.3%
              Ind7,5012.9%00.0%-2.9%00.0%-2.9%
              Grn2,7721.1%00.0%-1.1%00.0%-1.1%
              Total Number of MPs:77
              Gallagher Index:17.5117.51

              Topup Seats: (0)

                Constituent 2015 Ridings

                Avalon, Bonavista-Burin-Trinity, Coast of Bays-Central-Notre Dame, Labrador, Long Range Mountains, St. John's East, St. John's South-Mount Pearl

                Region: R_NS

                Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
                PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
                Lib324,81662.0%981.8%19.8%981.8%19.8%
                Con93,69717.9%00.0%-17.9%00.0%-17.9%
                NDP85,46816.3%218.2%1.9%218.2%1.9%
                Grn17,6303.4%00.0%-3.4%00.0%-3.4%
                Total Number of MPs:1111
                Gallagher Index:19.0619.06

                Topup Seats: (0)

                  Constituent 2015 Ridings

                  Cape Breton-Canso, Central Nova, Cumberland-Colchester, Dartmouth-Cole Harbour, Halifax, Halifax West, Kings-Hants, Sackville-Preston-Chezzetcook, South Shore-St. Margarets, Sydney-Victoria, West Nova

                  Region: R_NT

                  Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
                  PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
                  Lib9,17248.3%1100.0%51.7%1100.0%51.7%
                  NDP5,78330.5%00.0%-30.5%00.0%-30.5%
                  Con3,48118.3%00.0%-18.3%00.0%-18.3%
                  Grn5372.8%00.0%-2.8%00.0%-2.8%
                  Total Number of MPs:11
                  Gallagher Index:44.4044.40

                  Topup Seats: (0)

                    Constituent 2015 Ridings

                    Northwest Territories

                    Region: R_NU

                    Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
                    PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
                    Lib5,61947.1%1100.0%52.9%1100.0%52.9%
                    NDP3,17126.6%00.0%-26.6%00.0%-26.6%
                    Con2,95624.8%00.0%-24.8%00.0%-24.8%
                    Grn1821.5%00.0%-1.5%00.0%-1.5%
                    Total Number of MPs:11
                    Gallagher Index:45.3945.39

                    Topup Seats: (0)

                      Constituent 2015 Ridings

                      Nunavut

                      Region: R_ON.Eastern

                      Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
                      PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
                      Lib559,82647.2%1263.2%15.9%1263.2%15.9%
                      Con420,10635.4%631.6%-3.9%631.6%-3.9%
                      NDP159,95213.5%15.3%-8.2%15.3%-8.2%
                      Grn33,5912.8%00.0%-2.8%00.0%-2.8%
                      Total Number of MPs:1919
                      Gallagher Index:13.1313.13

                      Topup Seats: (0)

                        Constituent 2015 Ridings

                        Bay of Quinte, Carleton, Glengarry-Prescott-Russell, Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-Brock, Hastings-Lennox and Addington, Kanata-Carleton, Kingston and the Islands, Lanark-Frontenac-Kingston, Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes, Nepean, Northumberland-Peterborough South, Orléans, Ottawa Centre, Ottawa South, Ottawa West-Nepean, Ottawa-Vanier, Peterborough-Kawartha, Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke, Stormont-Dundas-South Glengarry

                        Region: R_ON.GTA

                        Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
                        PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
                        Lib1,390,91149.2%3054.5%5.4%3054.5%5.4%
                        Con965,22734.1%1730.9%-3.2%1730.9%-3.2%
                        NDP394,44813.9%814.5%0.6%814.5%0.6%
                        Grn62,2372.2%00.0%-2.2%00.0%-2.2%
                        Total Number of MPs:5555
                        Gallagher Index: 4.72 4.72

                        Topup Seats: (0)

                          Constituent 2015 Ridings

                          Ajax, Aurora-Oak Ridges-Richmond Hill, Beaches-East York, Brampton Centre, Brampton East, Brampton North, Brampton South, Brampton West, Davenport, Don Valley East, Don Valley North, Don Valley West, Dufferin-Caledon, Durham, Eglinton-Lawrence, Etobicoke Centre, Etobicoke North, Etobicoke-Lakeshore, Humber River-Black Creek, King-Vaughan, Markham-Stouffville, Markham-Thornhill, Markham-Unionville, Milton, Mississauga Centre, Mississauga East-Cooksville, Mississauga-Erin Mills, Mississauga-Lakeshore, Mississauga-Malton, Mississauga-Streetsville, Newmarket-Aurora, Oakville, Oakville North-Burlington, Oshawa, Parkdale-High Park, Pickering-Uxbridge, Richmond Hill, Scarborough Centre, Scarborough North, Scarborough Southwest, Scarborough-Agincourt, Scarborough-Guildwood, Scarborough-Rouge Park, Spadina-Fort York, Thornhill, Toronto Centre, Toronto-Danforth, Toronto-St. Paul's, University-Rosedale, Vaughan-Woodbridge, Whitby, Willowdale, York Centre, York South-Weston, York-Simcoe

                          Region: R_ON.Northern

                          Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
                          PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
                          Lib166,05542.9%555.6%12.7%555.6%12.7%
                          NDP115,56029.8%444.4%14.6%444.4%14.6%
                          Con89,46123.1%00.0%-23.1%00.0%-23.1%
                          Grn15,4534.0%00.0%-4.0%00.0%-4.0%
                          Total Number of MPs:99
                          Gallagher Index:21.4921.49

                          Topup Seats: (0)

                            Constituent 2015 Ridings

                            Algoma-Manitoulin-Kapuskasing, Kenora, Nickel Belt, Nipissing-Timiskaming, Sault Ste. Marie, Sudbury, Thunder Bay-Rainy River, Thunder Bay-Superior North, Timmins-James Bay

                            Region: R_ON.SouthCentral

                            Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
                            PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
                            Lib433,59040.5%842.1%1.6%842.1%1.6%
                            Con390,78736.5%842.1%5.6%842.1%5.6%
                            NDP197,82818.5%315.8%-2.7%315.8%-2.7%
                            Grn38,5323.6%00.0%-3.6%00.0%-3.6%
                            Total Number of MPs:1919
                            Gallagher Index: 5.23 5.23

                            Topup Seats: (0)

                              Constituent 2015 Ridings

                              Brantford-Brant, Burlington, Cambridge, Flamborough-Glanbrook, Guelph, Haldimand-Norfolk, Hamilton Centre, Hamilton East-Stoney Creek, Hamilton Mountain, Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas, Kitchener Centre, Kitchener South-Hespeler, Kitchener-Conestoga, Niagara Centre, Niagara Falls, Niagara West, St. Catharines, Waterloo, Wellington-Halton Hills

                              Region: R_ON.Western

                              Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
                              PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
                              Con427,81240.0%736.8%-3.2%736.8%-3.2%
                              Lib379,01135.5%842.1%6.6%842.1%6.6%
                              NDP218,12820.4%421.1%0.6%421.1%0.6%
                              Grn36,1793.4%00.0%-3.4%00.0%-3.4%
                              Total Number of MPs:1919
                              Gallagher Index: 5.75 5.75

                              Topup Seats: (0)

                                Constituent 2015 Ridings

                                Barrie-Innisfil, Barrie-Springwater-Oro-Medonte, Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound, Chatham-Kent-Leamington, Elgin-Middlesex-London, Essex, Huron-Bruce, Lambton-Kent-Middlesex, London North Centre, London West, London-Fanshawe, Oxford, Parry Sound-Muskoka, Perth-Wellington, Sarnia-Lambton, Simcoe North, Simcoe-Grey, Windsor West, Windsor-Tecumseh

                                Region: R_PEI

                                Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
                                PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
                                Lib51,00258.3%375.0%16.7%375.0%16.7%
                                Con16,90019.3%125.0%5.7%125.0%5.7%
                                NDP14,00616.0%00.0%-16.0%00.0%-16.0%
                                Grn5,2816.0%00.0%-6.0%00.0%-6.0%
                                Total Number of MPs:44
                                Gallagher Index:17.3817.38

                                Topup Seats: (0)

                                  Constituent 2015 Ridings

                                  Cardigan, Charlottetown, Egmont, Malpeque

                                  Region: R_QC.Eastern

                                  Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
                                  PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
                                  Lib394,94427.4%1140.7%13.3%1140.7%13.3%
                                  Con391,10127.2%518.5%-8.7%518.5%-8.7%
                                  NDP353,20224.5%725.9%1.4%725.9%1.4%
                                  Bloc262,93618.3%414.8%-3.5%414.8%-3.5%
                                  Grn27,8631.9%00.0%-1.9%00.0%-1.9%
                                  Total Number of MPs:2727
                                  Gallagher Index:11.6111.61

                                  Topup Seats: (0)

                                    Constituent 2015 Ridings

                                    Avignon-La Mitis-Matane-Matapédia, Beauce, Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d'Orléans-Charlevoix, Beauport-Limoilou, Bellechasse-Les Etchemins-Lévis, Berthier-Maskinongé, Bécancour-Nicolet-Saurel, Charlesbourg-Haute-Saint-Charles, Chicoutimi-Le Fjord, Compton-Stanstead, Drummond, Gaspésie-Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine, Jonquière, Lac-Saint-Jean, Louis-Hébert, Louis-Saint-Laurent, Lévis-Lotbinière, Manicouagan, Montmagny-L'Islet-Kamouraska-Rivière-du-Loup, Mégantic-L'Érable, Portneuf-Jacques-Cartier, Québec, Richmond-Arthabaska, Rimouski-Neigette-Témiscouata-Les Basques, Saint-Maurice-Champlain, Sherbrooke, Trois-Rivières

                                    Region: R_QC.MonCentral

                                    Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
                                    PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
                                    Lib654,12437.1%1753.1%16.0%1753.1%16.0%
                                    NDP467,15726.5%1031.3%4.8%1031.3%4.8%
                                    Bloc401,41222.8%515.6%-7.1%515.6%-7.1%
                                    Con183,05610.4%00.0%-10.4%00.0%-10.4%
                                    Grn44,8452.5%00.0%-2.5%00.0%-2.5%
                                    Total Number of MPs:3232
                                    Gallagher Index:14.9114.91

                                    Topup Seats: (0)

                                      Constituent 2015 Ridings

                                      Ahuntsic-Cartierville, Alfred-Pellan, Beloeil-Chambly, Bourassa, Brome-Missisquoi, Brossard-Saint-Lambert, Châteauguay-Lacolle, Hochelaga, Honoré-Mercier, Joliette, La Pointe-de-l'Île, La Prairie, Laurier-Sainte-Marie, Laval-Les Îles, Longueuil-Charles-LeMoyne, Longueuil-Saint-Hubert, Marc-Aurèle-Fortin, Montarville, Montcalm, Outremont, Papineau, Pierre-Boucher-Les Patriotes-Verchères, Repentigny, Rosemont-La Petite-Patrie, Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot, Saint-Jean, Saint-Léonard-Saint-Michel, Salaberry-Suroît, Shefford, Terrebonne, Ville-Marie-Le Sud-Ouest-Île-des-Sœurs, Vimy

                                      Region: R_QC.MonWestL

                                      Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
                                      PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
                                      Lib466,60544.9%1157.9%13.0%1157.9%13.0%
                                      NDP255,00724.5%526.3%1.8%526.3%1.8%
                                      Bloc156,79615.1%210.5%-4.6%210.5%-4.6%
                                      Con135,00713.0%15.3%-7.7%15.3%-7.7%
                                      Grn22,6872.2%00.0%-2.2%00.0%-2.2%
                                      Total Number of MPs:1919
                                      Gallagher Index:11.3511.35

                                      Topup Seats: (0)

                                        Constituent 2015 Ridings

                                        Abitibi-Baie-James-Nunavik-Eeyou, Abitibi-Témiscamingue, Argenteuil-La Petite-Nation, Dorval-Lachine-LaSalle, Gatineau, Hull-Aylmer, LaSalle-Émard-Verdun, Lac-Saint-Louis, Laurentides-Labelle, Mirabel, Mount Royal, Notre-Dame-de-Grâce-Westmount, Pierrefonds-Dollard, Pontiac, Rivière-des-Mille-Îles, Rivière-du-Nord, Saint-Laurent, Thérèse-De Blainville, Vaudreuil-Soulanges

                                        Region: R_SK

                                        Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
                                        PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
                                        Con267,93748.5%857.1%8.6%857.1%8.6%
                                        NDP138,57425.1%321.4%-3.7%321.4%-3.7%
                                        Lib131,68123.9%321.4%-2.4%321.4%-2.4%
                                        Grn11,5272.1%00.0%-2.1%00.0%-2.1%
                                        Total Number of MPs:1414
                                        Gallagher Index: 6.99 6.99

                                        Topup Seats: (0)

                                          Constituent 2015 Ridings

                                          Battlefords-Lloydminster, Carlton Trail-Eagle Creek, Cypress Hills-Grasslands, Desnethé-Missinippi-Churchill River, Moose Jaw-Lake Centre-Lanigan, Prince Albert, Regina-Lewvan, Regina-Qu'Appelle, Regina-Wascana, Saskatoon West, Saskatoon-Grasswood, Saskatoon-University, Souris-Moose Mountain, Yorkton-Melville

                                          Region: R_YT

                                          Ridings OnlyRidings + Top-up
                                          PartyPopular VotesPct VotesElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver RepElected MPsPct Elected MPsOver Rep
                                          Lib10,88753.7%1100.0%46.3%1100.0%46.3%
                                          Con4,92824.3%00.0%-24.3%00.0%-24.3%
                                          NDP3,94319.4%00.0%-19.4%00.0%-19.4%
                                          Grn5332.6%00.0%-2.6%00.0%-2.6%
                                          Total Number of MPs:11
                                          Gallagher Index:39.5139.51

                                          Topup Seats: (0)

                                            Constituent 2015 Ridings

                                            Yukon